Fundamental theorem of arbitrage-free pricing.html
 
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In a general sense, the fundamental theorem of arbitrage/finance is a way to relate arbitrage opportunities with risk neutral measures that are equivalent to the original probability measure.

Contents

The fundamental theorem in a finite state market

In a finite state market, the fundamental theorem of arbitrage has two parts. The first part relates to existence of a risk neutral measure, while the second relates to the uniqueness of the measure (see Harrison and Pliska):

  1. The first part states that there is no arbitrage if and only if there exists a risk neutral measure that is equivalent to the original probability measure.
  2. The second part states provided absence of arbitrage, a market is complete if and only if there is a unique risk neutral measure that is equivalent to the original probability measure.

The fundamental theorem of pricing is a way for the concept of arbitrage to be converted to a question about whether or not a risk neutral measure exists.

The fundamental theorem in more general markets

When stock price returns follow a single Brownian motion, there is a unique risk neutral measure. When the stock price process is assumed to follow a more general semi-martingale (see Delbaen and Schachermayer), then the concept of arbitrage is too strong, and a weaker concept such as no free lunch with vanishing risk must be used to describe these opportunities in an infinite dimensional setting.

See also

References

  • Harrison, J. Michael; Pliska, Stanley R. (1981). "Martingales and Stochastic integrals in the theory of continuous trading". Stochastic Processes and their Applications 11 (3): 215–260. doi:10.1016/0304-4149(81)90026-0. 
  • Delbaen, Freddy; Schachermayer, Walter (1994). "A General Version of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing". Mathematische Annalen 300 (1): 463–520. doi:10.1007/BF01450498. 

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